ReadGlobe · morning brief · archive

Saturday 3 October

1 · The text

What is in your power

The opening rule: sort what you control from what you do not, and spend yourself only on the first.

2 min · Epictetus · The Enchiridion · tr. Thomas Wentworth Higginson · 1865 translation · public domain

There are things which are within our power, and there are things which are beyond our power. Within our power are opinion, aim, desire, aversion, and, in one word, whatever affairs are our own. Beyond our power are body, property, reputation, office, and, in one word, whatever are not properly our own affairs.

Now the things within our power are by nature free, unrestricted, unhindered; but those beyond our power are weak, dependent, restricted, alien. Remember, then, that if you attribute freedom to things by nature dependent and take what belongs to others for your own, you will be hindered, you will lament, you will be disturbed, you will find fault both with gods and men. But if you take for your own only that which is your own and view what belongs to others just as it really is, then no one will ever compel you, no one will restrict you; you will find fault with no one, you will accuse no one, you will do nothing against your will; no one will hurt you, you will not have an enemy, nor will you suffer any harm.

Aiming, therefore, at such great things, remember that you must not allow yourself any inclination, however slight, toward the attainment of the others; but that you must entirely quit some of them, and for the present postpone the rest. But if you would have these, and possess power and wealth likewise, you may miss the latter in seeking the former; and you will certainly fail of that by which alone happiness and freedom are procured.

Seek at once, therefore, to be able to say to every unpleasing semblance, “You are but a semblance and by no means the real thing.” And then examine it by those rules which you have; and first and chiefly by this: whether it concerns the things which are within our own power or those which are not; and if it concerns anything beyond our power, be prepared to say that it is nothing to you.

2 · One idea · Probability & time

The Lindy effect

In the 1960s, comedians gathered at Lindy's, a delicatessen on Broadway, and traded a piece of gloomy wisdom about their trade.

A comic's career, they said, lasts as long as his material, and he burns through it with every television appearance.

The writer Albert Goldman put it in print in 1964 as Lindy's Law. Decades later Nassim Taleb turned it around for things that do not wear out, like books and ideas: the longer one has already survived, the longer it is likely to go on. A book still read after fifty years will probably be read for fifty more.

In one line. The Lindy effect says that for non-perishable things — ideas, books, technologies — life expectancy grows with age. The longer something has already survived, the longer it’s likely to last. A book in print 50 years will probably outlast one published this year.

Worked example

Euclid’s geometry has been used for ~2,300 years and will likely be taught for centuries more; this year’s trendy framework will probably be forgotten within a decade. Age predicts survival for non-perishables.

How to use it, and where it fails

3 · One number

Median age, world

195022.2 years

202330.4 years

1.4 times the 1950 level.

Half the world is younger than this; the number shapes everything from jobs to pensions.

Source: Our World in Data, world estimates, read 2026-09-24.

Books readers reach for

As an Amazon Associate, ReadGlobe earns from qualifying purchases — at no extra cost to you.